Thursday, November 30, 2017

The Hollywood Futurity - Prelude to the Classics

The Hollywood Futurity - Prelude to the Classics
Joseph Di Rienzi

Mike Powell/Getty Images

As the thoroughbred racing season winds down in late fall every year, most horse racing enthusiasts’ thoughts turn to next year’s classics – the Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont Stakes. It is always an interesting mind exercise to look at the performances of the current year’s two year-old crop and try to anticipate who will be the classic winners during their three year-old season. This task has become more difficult of late with the trend by major trainers to lightly race (if at all) their best prospects as two year-olds. Nevertheless, it has proven over time that we should pay attention to juveniles who race in November and December because we may see these horses in the winner’s circles at Churchill Downs and Pimlico in May and at Belmont Park in June.

The most obvious two year-old race to consider in looking for likely classic winners is the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile which has become the de facto two year-old championship event. It is true over its now 34 year history many horses who have competed in the race have gone on to classic success the following year. However, only three winners – Timber Country (1994), Street Sense (2006) and Nyquist (2015) have reproduced their form and won a classic as a three year-old. (Street Sense and Nyquist were victorious in the Kentucky Derby while Timber Country captured the Preakness Stakes.) In this piece, I want to focus on another two year-old race, the Hollywood Futurity, which, despite its somewhat checkered history, has been a strong indicator of future classic success. In fact, there have been 12 horses contesting this race (with 5 of them winning) who in the following year were victorious in one of the Triple Crown races.

Initiated in 1981 (three years prior to the first Breeder’s Cup), the Hollywood Futurity was designed to be the championship race for two year-olds, and in 1983 boasted a purse of $1 million. Run mostly at 1 1/16 mile (except for 1985 – 1990 when it was contested at a mile), the Hollywood Futurity was staged on an artificial surface from 2006 to 2013. With the closing of Hollywood Park in late 2013, the race was moved to Los Alamitos Race Course. In 2007, the race was renamed the CashCall Futurity when Hollywood Park received sponsorship from that aforementioned company. Back on the dirt at Los Alamitos, the race is now named the Los Alamitos CashCall Futurity.

Right from its inaugural running, the Hollywood Futurity produced a classic winner, although only the most prescient observers would have predicted who in the field that would be. Arthur Hancock III and Leone J. Peters’ Gato Del Sol finished a well beaten seventh behind the winner Stalwart. The rangy gray colt had won the Del Mar Futurity three starts back, but he did not show his best form at Hollywood Park. Notwithstanding in May 1982, Gato Del Sol came charging home first in the Kentucky Derby at odds of 21-1.

The next classic winner to emerge from the Hollywood Futurity was Tank’s Prospect who also failed to place in the race, finishing fourth in the 1984 edition. The Eugene Klein owned and Wayne Lukas trained son of Mr. Prospector rallied from off the pace to win the Preakness the following year. The 1985 renewal of the Hollywood Futurity saw two classic winners emerge from the race who would be staunch adversaries the next two years. Carl Grinstead and Ben Rochelle’s California bred Snow Chief finished first in the Hollywood Futurity while Mrs. Howard B. Keck’s Ferdinand was a distant third. At Churchill Downs the following May, Ferdinand found an opening between horses and stormed to victory in the Kentucky Derby making his trainer Charlie Whittingham and his jockey Bill Shoemaker the oldest trainer-jockey combination to win the Derby. Favored Snow Chief finished a puzzling eleventh, but at Pimlico Racetrack, two weeks later, Snow Chief rebounded winning the Preakness Stakes by 4 lengths with Ferdinand in second place.
      
The following year, Dorothy and Pamela Scharbauer’s Alysheba, a robust son of the famed Alydar, finished a close second (by a neck) to Temperate Sil in the Hollywood Futurity. The Jack Van Berg trainee would find his championship form as a three year-old winning both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes before losing the Belmont (finishing fourth) in his bid for Triple Crown glory.

It took five more years for another classic winner to emerge from the Hollywood Futurity. In 1991, Tomonori Tsurumaki’s A. P. Indy began to fulfill the lofty reputation he had from his inception with a game victory in the race. Being a son of Triple Crown winner Seattle Slew out of a mare by Triple Crown winner Secretariat who had produced 1990 Preakness winner Summer Squall, it is not hard to imagine why A. P. Indy was bought at auction as a yearling for $2.9 million. Trained by Neil Drysdale, he had to be withdrawn from the Kentucky Derby the day before the race due to a foot bruise. Sufficiently recovered, A. P. Indy dutifully won the 1992 Belmont Stakes on the way to Horse of the Year honors.

The 1994 Hollywood Futurity was won in runaway fashion by a presumed budding superstar in Afternoon Deelites. Finishing second, beaten 6½ lengths was Thunder Gulch, who had shipped in from the East Coast. The son of Gulch recently acquired by owner Michael Tabor and turned over to trainer Wayne Lukas had just won the Remsen Stakes at Aqueduct for his new connections. Considered at one time second string to Lukas’ two year-old champion Timber Country, Thunder Gulch emerged as the Three Year-old Champion of 1995 winning both the Kentucky Derby and the Belmont Stakes. (A third place finish to stablemate, Timber Country in the Preakness Stakes, prevented Thunder Gulch from a Triple Crown sweep.)

Though both Alysheba and Thunder Gulch, in being dual classic winners, had come within a single victory of capturing the elusive Triple Crown, no horse has come closer than the 1997 Hollywood Futurity winner, Real Quiet. The gangly son of Quiet American whose trainer Bob Baffert nicknamed, “The Fish” for his narrow frame was owned by longtime Baffert patron Mike Pegram.  As with Thunder Gulch, Real Quiet was considered, prior to the Kentucky Derby, the weaker part of an uncoupled entry with Indian Charlie. However, he emerged the victor and followed that with a convincing win in the Preakness Stakes. Strongly favored to complete the Triple Crown, Real Quiet surged to a commanding lead at the top of the stretch in the Belmont Stakes only to find rival Victory Gallop catch him in the last stride to deny his Triple Crown aspirations.

In 2000, The Thoroughbred Corporation’s Point Given, a massive son of Thunder Gulch, who had just missed winning the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile by a nose to Macho Uno, became the next future classic winner to score a victory in the Hollywood Futurity. The Bob Baffert trainee, a strong favorite in the 2001 Kentucky Derby, finished a perplexing fifth to Monarchos. However, Point Given showed his superiority in winning both the Preakness and Belmont Stakes. On the other end of the expectations spectrum was Mr. and Mrs. Jerry Moss’ Giacomo who finished a surprising second in the 2004 Hollywood Futurity, but he really shocked the racing community by winning the following year’s Kentucky Derby at odds over 50-1.

Racing on the Hollywood Park artificial surface in 2009, Lookin at Lucky followed the pattern of Point Given of rebounding from a narrow loss in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile to win the now CashCall Futurity. Also trained by Bob Baffert, Lookin at Lucky was owned by the partnership of Pegram, Watson and Weitman. He continued to follow Point Given’s tract by finishing unplaced in the Kentucky Derby (sixth) but came back to win the Preakness. However, unlike Point Given, he did not contest the Belmont Stakes.

The final classic winner, to date, to emerge from the former Hollywood Futurity was Calumet Farm’s Oxbow in 2012. No better than fourth in the CashCall Futurity, the son of Awesome Again trained by Wayne Lukas scored an upset victory in the 2013 Preakness Stakes.

The race has produced no classic winners since it has been moved to Los Alamitos in 2014, but the last three victors - Dortmund (2014), Mor Spirit (2015), and Mastery (2016), were all high class performers. Thus, there is no reason that this renamed and relocated race will not still be a signpost to the following year’s classics, and one can hope the 2017 renewal run on December 9, will continue the tradition.